The NFL season is longer than it generally feels, and generally it has a method of leaping up late and reminding us not to overreact — or no less than not to react too soon.
Teaching “sizzling seat” lists a few weeks in the past had Denver’s Vance Joseph and Baltimore’s John Harbaugh on them, and folks across the league who monitor these items spoke with relative confidence of change in each locations. However every of these groups has won its previous two video games to considerably enhance its playoff probabilities and now you effectively, you could have to marvel, do not you?
Look, Week 10 typical knowledge nonetheless may end up to be proper about both of these guys, each of these guys or all the things it believed. However the previous two weeks are a reminder of how rapidly issues change on this league and that this little weekly train of ours ought to be taken for what it is value. Overreactions are all the time written in sand.
The Seahawks moved to 6-5 with an enormous win, whereas the Panthers are out of the blue struggling to keep within the playoff hunt. NFL Nation dives into Week 12.
It wasn’t all the time fairly, however Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson led the way in which by the air Sunday. So what do the Ravens do if Joe Flacco is prepared this week?
An offseason roster overhaul hasn’t derailed the Seahawks, who’re within the playoff hunt thanks to a trademark of Carroll’s program: preparation.
Lamar Jackson will save John Harbaugh’s job
Harbaugh did not determine to change from Joe Flacco to rookie Jackson. He did it as a result of Flacco injured his hip, and it appeared like a significantly better concept than turning to no matter’s left of Robert Griffin III. Baltimore was on a three-game dropping streak on the time however has won each of Jackson’s begins to enhance to 6-5 and cling to a playoff spot with 5 lengthy weeks to go. Jackson has accomplished 27 of 44 passes for one landing and three interceptions within the two video games and added 190 yards and a landing on 37 carries. Perhaps greater than something, he appears to have the workforce and city fired up in a method they completely weren’t two weeks in the past.
Graziano’s verdict: NOT AN OVERREACTION. Look, this is not going to be simple. Baltimore nonetheless has highway video games towards the Falcons, Chiefs and Chargers sprinkled round dwelling video games towards the Buccaneers and Browns. Getting to 9-7 from their present 6-5 isn’t any positive factor. But when they do, and in the event that they get into the playoffs, then it is going to be powerful to justify shifting on from Harbaugh, no matter whether or not Jackson begins the ultimate 5 video games or Flacco will get the job again as soon as wholesome. As a result of what the Ravens have performed to win these two video games at an important time of the 12 months is design and function a sport plan round Jackson regardless of how inexperienced he nonetheless is. While you do this and win the video games, that is a training accomplishment. And it will have to be taken under consideration when the Ravens determine on Harbaugh at season’s finish.
The Eagles will win the NFC East
The defending champs saved their season Sunday with a troublesome comeback victory over the Giants regardless of a shredded secondary and a still-somewhat-stalled offense. The Eagles are actually 5-6 and a sport behind the division’s first-place tie between Washington (who they play twice within the closing 5 video games) and Dallas (who they play as soon as).
Graziano’s verdict: OVERREACTION. May they win it? In fact. Someone’s bought to, and within the NFC East no one seems good for greater than a few weeks at a time. However will they win it? That is a special query. Their remaining sport towards the Cowboys, who beat them in Philadelphia in Week 10, is a highway sport. Their remaining non-division video games are on the 10-1 Rams and residential to the 7-Three Texans. Dallas nonetheless has to play the unstoppable Saints, however no less than they get them at dwelling, and so they end with video games towards the woeful Bucs and Giants. Washington nonetheless has the Giants to go, plus out-of-division highway video games in Tennessee and struggling Jacksonville. Philly’s remaining schedule seems to be the hardest of the three.
The Chiefs will win the AFC
Kansas Metropolis is off this week, recovering from Monday evening’s loss-for-the-ages to the Rams. However the Steelers’ loss to Denver dented Pittsburgh’s probabilities of catching Kansas Metropolis for the highest seed. New England sits a sport behind Kansas Metropolis within the convention standings and holds the tiebreaker edge since they beat the Chiefs in Week 6. The Texans can transfer inside a sport of the highest spot with a victory over Tennessee on Monday evening. And the Chargers sit a sport behind the Chiefs within the AFC West. It is crowded, however Ok.C. stays the highest canine.
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Graziano’s verdict: NOT AN OVERREACTION. The Steelers’ loss in Denver does not simply damage their probabilities at a bye, it brings up outdated questions on their capability to win on the highway if they do not. Certain, it was solely their first highway lack of the season, however timing, folks timing. New England nonetheless clearly has questions to reply on protection, irrespective of how excited it’s possible you’ll be about Gronk’s return to the offense. Houston is successful video games by the pores and skin of its tooth, and it is exhausting to think about them hanging with Kansas Metropolis’s offense in a playoff sport. And the Chargers? The Chiefs have crushed them 9 occasions in a row, together with in Week 1 in L.A. The Chargers play in Pittsburgh subsequent week (doubtless with out Melvin Gordon), then dwelling towards the Chiefs in Week 15. Win these two, and we are able to speak. Meantime, the Chiefs appear to be the perfect workforce within the convention, and certainly one of these years the playoffs are gonna work out for Andy Reid. I simply know they’re.
The Colts want to cease throwing the ball to Andrew Luck
This week no less than, he caught the move. And he did not land exhausting on his surgically repaired shoulder, as he did final week when lunging for a futile catch try in the long run zone. The Colts are 6-5 and clearly having enjoyable with a five-game successful streak underneath artistic former Eagles offensive coordinator Frank Reich.
Graziano’s verdict: NOT AN OVERREACTION. Look, guys that is getting critical now. A 6-5 file means you are in it. This is not like Week Four, when you may go for it on fourth down in your personal territory in time beyond regulation towards Houston as a result of the place have been you going this 12 months anyway? Frankly, if that state of affairs introduced itself once more, Reich can be loopy not to play it in a different way. Identical deal right here with Luck, with out whom there merely isn’t any Colts season. He has thrown no less than three landing passes in eight straight video games. His comeback had turned the Colts from a doormat right into a contender. It is neat that Reich desires to hold trotting out and tweaking variations of the play that helped him and the Eagles win a Tremendous Bowl in February, however preserving Luck within the pocket is the way in which to go at this level. No want to take any probabilities with a reputable shot on the postseason.
The Browns will win the AFC North in 2019
Cleveland overwhelmed division rival Cincinnati on Sunday, successful its second sport in a row to enhance to Four-6-1 for the season. It is the primary time the Browns have won this many video games in a season since 2014. They have not completed over .500 since 2007, and so they nonetheless may do this with a Four-1 end. Rookie quarterback Baker Mayfield is 36-for-46 for 474 yards, seven touchdowns and no interceptions in Cleveland’s previous two video games. There’s actual hope right here, and the Browns look as if they’re going to be a troublesome workforce to play down the stretch.
Graziano’s verdict: OVERREACTION. This one was powerful, however in the long run it looks like too massive a bounce to transfer them previous Pittsburgh in our way-to-early 2019 AFC North projections. Certain, if Ben Roethlisberger retires, it is a totally different dialog. However assuming he does not, these thrilling upstart Browns nonetheless have some hurdles to clear. And whereas they’re enjoying very effectively underneath interim head coach Gregg Williams, we will not overlook the very actual risk that they alter coaches (and perhaps offensive programs) within the offseason. The long run is brilliant in Cleveland, and a powerful end and one other good draft will make them a classy decide subsequent August. However these items take time. They have not even completed greater than fourth place since 2010. Gotta get to third place earlier than you may get to first, do not you?