We’re previewing the Week 12 NFL slate with score predictions for every sport from our Nation reporters, what to look ahead to in fantasy, Soccer Energy Index projections from ESPN Stats & Info and far more.
Thursday: CHI 23, DET 16; DAL 31, WSH 23; NO 31, ATL 17
Byes: KC, LAR
Soar to a matchup:
SEA-CAR | OAK-BAL | NYG-PHI | NE-NYJ
SF-TB | CLE-CIN | JAX-BUF | ARI-LAC
PIT-DEN | MIA-IND | GB-MIN | TEN-HOU
Level unfold: CAR -Three.5 | Matchup high quality: 62.eight (of 100)
Brady Henderson’s decide: The Seahawks’ protection has gone three consecutive video games with out a takeaway, one thing that would have helped flip slender defeats to the Chargers and Rams into victories. Seattle has proven a capability to take the ball away from opponents, doing it 16 occasions over the primary seven video games, however ending the drought won’t be simple Sunday in opposition to Carolina, an offense whose 10 turnovers is tied for the third fewest within the league. Panthers 30, Seahawks 28
David Newton’s decide: The Panthers are 5-Zero at residence and have a 10-game successful streak at Financial institution of America Stadium. The large distinction is turnovers. Defensively, Carolina has compelled 13 at residence to solely two on the highway, and offensively, it has made solely three at residence in contrast with seven on the highway. Stopping the Seattle working sport can also be going to be key. The Panthers are giving up solely 78.2 yards on the bottom at residence in contrast with 116.6 away. Panthers 21, Seahawks 17
Darren Woodson and John Fox say that the Panthers’ offense will get rolling once more vs. the Seahawks in Week 12.
FPI win projection: CAR, 59.5 %. This sport will go a good distance towards deciding the NFC wild-card race. The Panthers would have a 71 % likelihood to make the playoffs with a victory, in accordance to FPI, and a 28 % likelihood with a loss. The Seahawks would have a 74 % likelihood with a win and a 28 % likelihood with a loss.
What to look ahead to in fantasy: Up to now 5 weeks mixed, the Panthers have allowed 109.Three fantasy factors to opposing quarterbacks, second most within the league. And Russell Wilson has been a a lot more efficient passer in current weeks after a sluggish begin to the season, averaging 21.6 fantasy factors in his previous 5 video games. Learn more.
In case you missed it: Who’s the higher working QB? … Ed Dickson making up for misplaced time … Panthers’ collision course with Saints now may be a sport of survival
Level unfold: BAL -11 | Matchup high quality: 47.1 (of 100)
Paul Gutierrez’s decide: As Raiders veteran defensive finish Frostee Rucker identified, dealing with a working quarterback just like the Ravens’ Lamar Jackson will likely be a great factor for Oakland. It switches issues up for the protection, Rucker mentioned. Regardless of being 31st in opposition to the run this season, the Raiders primarily bottled up Russell Wilson final month, limiting him to 20 yards and sacking him as soon as. However in fact the remainder of the Seahawks ran wild. Ravens 26, Raiders 17
Who wins Falcons-Saints, Seahawks-Panthers, Browns-Bengals, Steelers-Broncos and Packers-Vikings?
What is the origin of Michael Thomas’ aggressive streak, the likes of which Drew Brees says he has by no means seen? A by no means-ending want to make himself really feel undervalued — and show his haters, actual or self-made, flawed.
Prime-time Parlay is your FPI-based mostly information that predicts the outcomes of all the most important NFL video games of Week 12.
Jamison Hensley’s decide: Historical past is on the facet of Jackson and Baltimore. The Ravens are 19-Four at residence within the month of November beneath coach John Harbaugh, the NFL’s best mark. The Raiders are Three-10 on the highway because the begin of the 2017 season, which is tied for the fourth-worst document over that span. Ravens 23, Raiders 17
FPI win projection: BAL, 86.9 %. Jackson set information along with his speeding totals in his first begin, however his Complete QBR for the sport was only a 26.9. He’ll look to enhance upon that in opposition to a Raiders staff that has allowed the third-highest Complete QBR in highway video games this season (71.Four).
What to look ahead to in fantasy: If Joe Flacco continues to be sidelined in Week 12 along with his hip ailment, Jackson might feast on an Oakland protection yielding probably the most factors per drive to opponents within the NFL. Learn more.
In case you missed it: Kolton Miller enjoying by way of the ache, strain … John Harbaugh to critics: Ravens ‘not useless, sorry’
Level unfold: PHI -6 | Matchup high quality: 44.Three (of 100)
Jordan Raanan’s decide: The Eagles have owned this rivalry of late, successful eight of the previous 9 and waxing the Giants earlier this season. However they’re stumbling getting into this one, having given up 75 factors of their previous two video games. That ought to enable the Giants to score some, maintain it shut and canopy the unfold. However it won’t be sufficient. Philadelphia can rush the passer (26 sacks), whereas the Giants have allowed an NFL-high 36 sacks. That would be the distinction. Eagles 26, Giants 24
Tim McManus’ decide: Accidents have hit the secondary so laborious, it is barely recognizable. There is a believable state of affairs by which the corners are Chandon Sullivan, De’Vante Bausby and Cre’von LeBlanc. Of that group, solely LeBlanc has began a sport within the NFL. The offense has failed to score within the first quarter in eight of 10 video games. The Giants may have the chance to unleash Odell Beckham Jr. early and trip Saquon Barkley the remainder of the way in which. Giants 27, Eagles 20
FPI win projection: PHI, 67.eight %. The defending champs have an uphill climb to make the postseason, and successful this sport in opposition to the Giants is a should. The Eagles would have a 5 % likelihood to make the playoffs with a loss and are favored in solely two of their remaining 5 video games after this one, in accordance to FPI.
Darren Woodson and John Fox see the Eagles snapping their two-sport shedding skid by ending the Giants’ two-sport win streak Sunday.
What to look ahead to in fantasy: Beckham matches up probably the most favorably because the staff’s prime perimeter receiver, however Sterling Shepard must also discover his spots because the slot receiver. Learn more.
In case you missed it: Barkley’s even higher now that he is gaining ‘soiled’ yards … Eagles are down, however Lane Johnson nonetheless not shopping for into ‘Patriot Means’
Level unfold: NE -9.5 | Matchup high quality: 33.eight (of 100)
Mike Reiss’ decide: The vibe from the Patriots’ locker room all week has been that the staff is able to more constant performances on the highway, and now the gamers need to show it. Getting more healthy — with the projected returns of Rob Gronkowski (again, ankle) and beginning proper guard Shaq Mason (calf) — additionally ought to assist. Patriots 31, Jets 17
The whole lot you want this week:
• Scores, highlights and more »
• Full schedule » | Full standings »
• Weekly stats leaders »
• Up to date playoff image »
• Accidents tracker: Who’s in, out »
More NFL protection »
Wealthy Cimini’s decide: The Jets say they have not stop on the season or coach Todd Bowles, and up to date historical past suggests this will likely be a aggressive sport. The truth is, the previous 5 conferences at MetLife Stadium have been determined by seven factors or fewer, together with two Jets victories. One other upset? Let’s not get loopy. The Jets have averaged solely 10 factors per sport over their previous 4, all losses. Patriots 24, Jets 16
FPI win projection: NE, 80.Zero %. The Patriots are a big favourite on the highway, projected to win 80 % of the time by FPI. There was just one sport up to now this season with a bigger highway favourite, in accordance to FPI: Patriots over the Payments in Week eight.
What to look ahead to in fantasy: The Jets are permitting the fourth-most fantasy factors to slot receivers this season. Julian Edelman has aligned inside on 71 % of his routes this season. Learn more.
In case you missed it: Jets rookie tight finish has particular fingers … Jets WR connects with brother he by no means knew … Chris Hogan staying upbeat regardless of lack of current manufacturing
Level unfold: TB -Three.5 | Matchup high quality: 28.1 (of 100)
Nick Wagoner’s decide: No staff within the NFL has more turnovers than the Bucs’ 29, and no staff within the NFL has fewer takeaways than the 49ers’ 5. Each groups ought to have the opportunity to put up factors, and this has the makings of a giant day for Niners working again Matt Breida, however the guess right here is that the Niners, who should journey throughout the nation for this one, won’t give you the takeaways wanted to break a 5-sport shedding streak in opposition to NFC South groups. Buccaneers 31, 49ers 27
Jenna Laine’s decide: That is the simplest sport that continues to be of the Bucs’ remaining six, and it is at residence, the place they seem to be a considerably palatable 2-2 this season. It is also what may very well be Jameis Winston’s remaining shot to show he deserves to stick round after getting benched earlier within the season. Jason Pierre-Paul is a half-sack away from breaking the Bucs’ 12-year double-digit sack drought, and the kicking state of affairs may be solidified after Cairo Santos went 5-for-5 on his additional level makes an attempt Sunday. Buccaneers 27, 49ers 23
Darren Woodson sees the 49ers scoring 30-plus factors of their Week 12 sport however John Fox prefers the Bucs’ offensive potential.
FPI win projection: TB, 65.5 %. Nick Mullens has posted a 70-plus Complete QBR in every of his first two begins for the Niners. They’ve seen solely two QBs put up a 70-plus Complete QBR in three or more consecutive video games (minimal 20 motion performs) since QBR was first tracked in 2006: Colin Kaepernick had a 4-sport streak in 2011 and Jimmy Garoppolo had a 3-sport streak final season.
What to look ahead to in fantasy: Breida’s massive-play means (eighth within the league in carries going for over 10 yards) mixed with the Bucs’ incapacity to cease massive performs (eighth-most 10-plus-yard carries allowed per sport) is a recipe for fulfillment in Week 12. Learn more.
In case you missed it: Buccaneers’ quarterback roulette is not serving to develop the offense … Kendell Beckwith on a ‘journey’ to return … 49ers in higher place to draft wanted distinction-makers
Level unfold: CIN -Three | Matchup high quality: 23.eight (of 100)
Pat McManamon’s decide: The Browns can win consecutive outings for the primary time in 65 video games. Baker Mayfield performed properly in opposition to Atlanta and Kansas Metropolis, which rank No. 29 and No. 32 within the league, respectively, in move protection. The Bengals are 31st. Browns 27, Bengals 23
ESPN Chalk has you coated with all of your NFL Week 12 betting wants:
Week 12 early look
Katherine Terrell’s decide: The Bengals might and doubtless will battle to comprise each Mayfield and Nick Chubb, particularly now that linebacker Preston Brown is out for the season. Nonetheless, the potential return of A.J. Inexperienced might swing issues again of their favor. If Cincinnati’s offense can appear to be it did initially of the season, it’d have the opportunity to elevate the Bengals to a win regardless of the struggles of the protection. Bengals 28, Browns 21
FPI win projection: CIN, 66.eight %. Mayfield had a profession-excessive 94.7 Complete QBR in his earlier sport and can look to carry that momentum on the highway, the place he has posted a 31.7 Complete QBR this season, second worst amongst certified QBs. The Bengals have allowed a 64.2 Complete QBR to opposing QBs this season, third highest within the league.
What to look ahead to in fantasy: Darqueze Dennard has been closely focused (23 % of protection snaps) and has struggled in protection (Zero.38 fantasy factors per snap) this season. Jarvis Landry aligns inside 71 % of the time and has a shot to get again on monitor in Week 12. Learn more.
In case you missed it: Benefit, Hue Jackson’s Bengals? Not essentially, Browns say
Level unfold: JAX -Three | Matchup high quality: 22.Zero (of 100)
Mike DiRocco’s decide: Leonard Fournette has had 59 touches in his first two video games again from a hamstring harm, and there is no purpose to anticipate his workload to lower considerably in Week 12. The Jaguars won the playoff matchup in January by being conservative on offense and counting on the protection. That would be the technique Sunday, particularly if Josh Allen is again for Buffalo. They’re going to strive to pressure the rookie quarterback into a few errors, seize just a few turnovers and maintain LeSean McCoy from breaking off any massive runs. Try this, and so they’ll have the opportunity to snap their six-sport shedding streak. Jaguars 13, Payments 7
Mike Rodak’s decide: The final time Blake Bortles confronted the Payments’ protection, he handed for 87 yards and led the Jaguars to a 10-Three AFC wild-card playoff win. In predicting this sport, the query is much less about whether or not Bortles can beat the Payments’ protection and more about whether or not the Payments’ offense can show the 41 factors it held on the Jets in a Week 10 victory was not a fluke. In a sport by which one landing might determine the result, I’ll give the sting to a Jacksonville protection that has allowed a 56 % conversion price within the crimson zone in contrast to a 67.7 % price allowed by Buffalo. Jaguars 14, Payments 10
FPI win projection: BUF, 51.7 %. There may not be loads of offense to be discovered on this sport. Each groups rank within the prime 10 in defensive effectivity this season and within the backside 5 in offensive effectivity, in accordance to FPI.
Darren Woodson and John Fox have the Jaguars pulling off a win on the highway in Week 12 in Buffalo.
What to look ahead to in fantasy: Opposing passers have averaged simply 5.66 yards per dropback dealing with the Payments’ protection this season, the second-lowest price within the NFL. Learn more.
In case you missed it: Ten months after playoffs, Jaguars might need to begin over at QB … Josh Allen growth camp opens as Payments start closing stretch
Level unfold: LAC -11.5 | Matchup high quality: 49.Three (of 100)
Josh Weinfuss’ decide: The Cardinals reached new depths Sunday with a loss to the lowly Raiders and it won’t get simpler in Week 12 in opposition to the Chargers, who boast one of many NFL’s most prolific offenses. Even with a brand new coordinator, the Cardinals’ offense continues to be struggling mightily: It is ranked 32nd in seven main classes and 31st in 5. Although Arizona’s protection has been enhancing week by week, led by Chandler Jones’ 10.5 sacks, it won’t have the opportunity to maintain the Chargers tamed for lengthy. Chargers 34, Cardinals 17
Eric D. Williams’ decide: The Bolts gave away the sport to the Broncos in Week 11, and they’re going to take out their frustrations on the Cardinals and rookie quarterback Josh Rosen. Joey Bosa ought to have a good larger presence on protection in his second sport. Meaning unhealthy issues for Rosen, who already has been pressured on 37.Three % of his dropbacks, in accordance to ESPN Stats & Info information. The Cardinals have crushed the Chargers solely as soon as on the highway in franchise historical past, manner again in 2001. Chargers 28, Cardinals 13
FPI win projection: LAC, 93.Zero %. The Chargers are the most important favourite in Week 12, projected to win 93 % of the time, in accordance to FPI. The Chargers have been larger favorites solely as soon as in our information set (because the begin of the 2008 season), more than a decade in the past, in Week 10 of 2008 in opposition to the Chiefs.
What to look ahead to in fantasy: Larry Fitzgerald runs a major variety of his routes out of the slot, however the Chargers boast the third-best protection in opposition to slot receivers for the season, largely due to the play of cornerback Desmond King. Learn more.
In case you missed it: Chargers regress to shedding methods … Wrestling class helped Michael Davis discover beginning function with Jack Boys … The character of Josh Rosen’s inquisitiveness
Level unfold: PIT -Three | Matchup high quality: 72.Four (of 100)
Jeremy Fowler’s decide: The Steelers’ offense is motivated to begin shortly after a woeful first half in Jacksonville, and given Ben Roethlisberger’s 719 whole yards in his two most up-to-date matchups with Denver, Mile Excessive would possibly function a springboard. The Steelers are 15-1-1 of their previous 17 highway video games, and so they often carry out properly defensively in opposition to center-of-the-highway quarterbacks. Steelers 27, Broncos 20
Jeff Legwold’s decide: The Broncos have struggled to maintain up in move protection at occasions, and the Steelers throw the ball loads. Denver can get an upset with a giant day from its personal offense, particularly working the ball, to go together with some heroics from Von Miller and Bradley Chubb on protection, however the Broncos will want their best effort of the season to try this. Steelers 24, Broncos 20
FPI win projection: PIT, 60.Zero %. The Steelers may have larger than a 95 % likelihood to make the playoffs, win or lose, in accordance to FPI, however whether or not or not they’d be enjoying on wild-card weekend hinges vastly on this sport. Pittsburgh would have a 53 % likelihood for a primary-spherical bye with a victory, and a 26 % likelihood with a loss, in accordance to FPI.
Darren Woodson and John Fox agree it is troublesome to win in Denver, however see the Steelers pulling off that activity.
What to look ahead to in fantasy: The Steelers rank third in PPR (36.Zero), second in sack price (10.eight), fifth in common time allowed in pocket (TIP, 2.1 seconds) and fourth in GBR (40.Four). The Broncos’ offense charges 31st in PPR (37.6), 29th in TIP (2.1) and 27th in GBR (40.5). Learn more.
In case you missed it: ‘Nocturnal beast’ Antonio Brown identified to pump late-evening iron … JuJu Smith-Schuster goes from hero to Hines Ward in two days … Broncos, Steelers can nonetheless run the ball in move-comfortable NFL
Level unfold: IND -10 | Matchup high quality: 42.9 (of 100)
Cameron Wolfe’s decide: Ryan Tannehill’s return has added additional intrigue to a Dolphins season that has been teetering after a Three-Zero begin. However Tannehill is not 100 % after lacking the previous 5 video games with a proper shoulder capsule harm, and it may be an excessive amount of to ask him to compete with Andrew Luck in a shootout. Miami is 1-Four on the highway this season, and a surging Colts offense with a stellar offensive line is a troublesome matchup for a protection that has struggled to rush the passer (29th in sacks, with 17) or cease the run (30th in run protection, giving up 142 yards per sport) all season. Colts 33, Dolphins 24
Compensate for what’s taking place heading out of Week 11:
• Week 12 Energy Rankings »
• Barnwell: Biggest common-season video games ever »
• Graziano: Classes from Week 11 »
• Best and worst QB performances of the week »
• Barnwell: Accidents shaking up playoffs »
• Full playoff image: AFC, NFC seeds »
• Week 11 overreactions: Luck for MVP? »
More NFL protection »
Mike Wells’ decide: The Colts are at present tied for the fourth-longest successful streak within the NFL at 4 video games. Throughout that point, they’re averaging 36.5 factors and have turned over the ball solely as soon as, and Luck has 13 landing passes. Scoring should not be a problem for Indy on Sunday as a result of the Dolphins are 22nd within the NFL in factors allowed (25.6) and 27th in whole protection. Colts 34, Dolphins 17
FPI win projection: IND, 82.5 %. This sport options two groups heading in reverse instructions. The Colts have won 4 consecutive video games and lead the NFL in offensive effectivity in that span, in accordance to FPI (93 on a Zero-to-100 scale). The Dolphins have misplaced three of 4 and have a defensive effectivity of 25.Three in that span, sixth worst within the league.
What to look ahead to in fantasy: Luck has been great, so there ought to definitely be some alternatives for Jack Doyle to money in on the landing upside that is on the market for the Colts’ offense. Learn more.
In case you missed it: When soccer is completed, it is Bo Time! for Colts’ Nyheim Hines
Level unfold: MIN -Three.5 | Matchup high quality: 70.5 (of 100)
Rob Demovsky’s decide: The Packers both led or have been tied within the fourth quarter of their previous three highway video games and could not win any of them. In some unspecified time in the future, that has to develop into deflating. That time may very well be Sunday evening at Minnesota, the place the Packers have not won because the Vikings opened their new stadium in 2016. After three straight “almosts” on the highway, this one may very well be ugly. Vikings 28, Packers 17
Courtney Cronin’s decide: Whereas there may be no magic reply for why Kirk Cousins has largely underachieved in prime time (Four-12), the Vikings may have to discover a manner to work round that in opposition to Inexperienced Bay. This sport not solely decides a possible tiebreaker for the NFC North, however may very well be Minnesota’s remaining shot at proving itself as a playoff staff. The protection performs higher at residence and is coming off a robust outing in Chicago, and the Vikings have run the ball moderately properly at U.S. Financial institution Stadium in current weeks. Towards a banged-up Packers staff, they may lastly set up a display screen sport. Vikings 24, Packers 19
FPI win projection: MIN, 56.Three %. This sport is one other one with large postseason implications for each groups. The Packers would have a 61 % likelihood to make the playoffs with a win, in accordance to FPI, and a 17 % likelihood with a loss. The Vikings would have a 71 % likelihood with a win, and 26 % with a loss.
What to look ahead to in fantasy: Minnesota is permitting the second-fewest fantasy factors to perimeter receivers, together with the third-fewest over the previous eight weeks. Davante Adams is borderline matchup-proof, however that is definitely one in every of his hardest challenges of the season. Learn more.
In case you missed it: Aaron Rodgers’ numbers do not add up to Packers’ document … Frequent-flier miles, resort factors solely factor Packers win on highway … Vikings struggling to generate room in run sport, shield Cousins
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
Level unfold: HOU -6 | Matchup high quality: 45.1 (of 100)
Turron Davenport’s decide: The Texans are white-sizzling heading into their Monday evening sport in opposition to the Titans, having won seven video games in a row and averaging 28 factors per sport over the previous three. Apart from the hiccup in opposition to the Colts, when the unit gave up 37 factors, Tennessee’s protection has been strong, permitting solely 18.9 factors per sport. However with or with out Marcus Mariota, the Titans’ offense has been erratic. Texans 24, Titans 17
Darren Woodson and John Fox agree that the Texans will win their eighth straight general vs. the Titans.
Sarah Barshop’s decide: This will likely be a matchup of fine defenses, as each groups are ranked within the prime six in scoring protection. Tennessee is permitting a mean of 18.9 factors to 20.5 for Houston. The Texans will proceed their successful streak and keep away from getting swept by Tennessee for the primary time since 2007. Texans 23, Titans 13
FPI win projection: HOU, 74.2 %. Mariota is questionable after re-injuring his elbow in Week 11. The Titans are underdogs on the highway with a 30 % likelihood to win, in accordance to FPI. But when Blaine Gabbert begins, their likelihood to win would drop to 20 %.
What to look ahead to in fantasy: DeAndre Hopkins has owned Tennessee all through his profession, averaging 10.Four targets, 6.5 receptions, 101.eight yards and Zero.64 touchdowns in 11 profession video games. Learn more.
In case you missed it: Feisty mindset fuels Dion Lewis’ increasing function for Titans … Texans want to get again to limiting turnovers … Thanksgiving evokes reminiscences of pop for Texans’ Greg Mancz