Barring a collapse of epic proportions, 5 of the AFC’s playoff spots appear shut to being locked down. Kansas Metropolis leads the pack with 9 wins, whereas Pittsburgh, New England, Houston and the Los Angeles Chargers have seven wins apiece.

The sixth and final spot within the AFC is up for grabs, with Baltimore, Indianapolis, Tennessee, Cincinnati and Miami with an identical 5-5 information. Which group will get away and seize the final spot? Right here’s a better look:

Baltimore Ravens

Schedule: vs. Raiders, at Falcons, at Chiefs, vs. Buccaneers, at Chargers, vs. Browns

FPI probability to make the playoffs: 41.zero %

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X issue: Beginning quarterback. For the primary time in 11 years, there may be uncertainty about who will play underneath heart in significant video games. Do the Ravens go together with the skilled however banged-up Joe Flacco or rookie playmaker Lamar Jackson? Flacco is anticipated to miss Sunday’s sport towards the Raiders due to a proper hip damage, however Baltimore will have to decide at quarterback for the final 5 common-season video games. “I’m not stepping into any of that,” Ravens coach John Harbaugh stated when requested in regards to the quarterback state of affairs going ahead.

Playoff outlook: The Ravens are doubtless going to want to win a few times of their final three street video games, and up to date historical past suggests it is not going to occur. They have to journey to play the Atlanta Falcons, Kansas Metropolis Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers. Since 2015, Baltimore has won as soon as on the street in December (on the Browns final season). — Jamison Hensley

Indianapolis Colts

Schedule: vs. Dolphins, at Jaguars, at Texans, vs. Cowboys, vs. Giants, at Titans

FPI probability to make the playoffs: 33.1 %

X issue: Offensive line. The Colts have one of the best offensive group within the NFL moreover the Saints, Chiefs or Rams. Led by quarterback Andrew Luck, the Colts are averaging 36.5 factors, and Luck has thrown 13 touchdowns and one interception whereas finishing 74 % of his move makes an attempt throughout their 4-sport win streak. Luck can thank his offensive line for his success. Indianapolis hasn’t given up a sack in 5 video games, and Luck has been contacted simply as soon as in his previous 89 dropbacks, in accordance to ESPN Stats & Info.

Playoff outlook: The Colts began the season 1-5 and have a good schedule down the stretch. Houston is the one group with a successful file that the Colts face of their final six video games. The Colts proved towards Buffalo, Jacksonville and Tennessee, groups with top-10-ranked defenses on the time, that they didn’t have an issue scoring. There isn’t a quarterback left on the schedule who can be favored to out-duel Luck, who is among the entrance-runners for Comeback Participant of the Yr. — Mike Wells

Tennessee Titans

Schedule: at Texans, vs. Jets, vs. Jaguars, at Giants, vs. Redskins, vs. Colts

FPI probability to make the playoffs: 18.eight

X issue: Offensive line. Tennessee is tough to cease when it’s working the ball successfully. The road has to do a greater job of shifting defensive gamers off the ball for the speeding assault. The Titans have hassle towards the blitz, as proven of their worst losses this season. That falls on each Marcus Mariota and the offensive line.

Playoff outlook: The Titans have struggled to discover consistency this season. Tennessee will definitely convey its A-sport on the street towards the Texans and at residence towards the Jaguars. The issue is the Titans have had an inclination to play down to their competitors, which is not good contemplating their six remaining video games embrace the Giants and Jets. — Turron Davenport

Cincinnati Bengals

Schedule: vs. Browns, vs. Broncos, at Chargers, vs. Raiders, at Browns, at Steelers

FPI probability to make the playoffs: 17.1

X issue: A.J. Inexperienced. The Bengals’ offense has been dropping playmakers left and proper between Tyler Eifert, Tyler Kroft and A.J. Inexperienced, however Inexperienced seems like he is on track to return towards the Browns this week. The Bengals want their finest playmaker, contemplating no one has stepped up in his place moreover Tyler Boyd.

Playoff outlook: The Bengals desperately wanted to beat the Ravens final week, and now they may want to win out to make the playoffs. Nonetheless, their schedule is winnable down the stretch, moreover a street journey to the Chargers and a season finale at Pittsburgh. The Bengals play the Broncos and Raiders as well as to the Browns twice, and if Inexperienced can return, it might give their offense the enhance it wants to make a playoff push. — Katherine Terrell

Miami Dolphins

Schedule: at Colts, vs. Payments, vs. Patriots, at Vikings, vs. Jaguars, at Payments

FPI probability to make the playoffs: four.7

X issue: Ryan Tannehill. Miami’s beginning quarterback has missed the previous 5 video games with a proper shoulder capsule damage, however he’ll begin Sunday at Indianapolis. Tannehill is three-2 as a starter this season, and although he has some flaws, he represents a major improve over Brock Osweiler due to his mobility, accuracy (significantly with the deep ball) and really feel inside the offense. Miami has the bottom odds of the 5 5-5 groups to make the playoffs, however Tannehill’s return might make Miami a more durable out than anticipated.

Playoff outlook: The Dolphins can benefit from a manageable schedule that features two December video games towards the Payments and a house contest towards the reeling Jaguars. It appears 9-7 might be sufficient to safe the final wild-card spot. However Miami has 10 gamers on injured reserve — together with G Josh Sitton, C Daniel Kilgore, WR Albert Wilson and WR Jakeem Grant — which is why the offense has struggled. On protection, Miami is giving up 142 speeding yards per sport, third-worst within the NFL, which doesn’t bode properly for them to make the playoffs. — Cameron Wolfe

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