We’re previewing the Week 11 NFL slate with score predictions for every sport from our Nation reporters, what to look ahead to in fantasy, Soccer Energy Index projections from ESPN Stats & Info and far more.
Thursday Night time Soccer result: SEA 27, GB 24
Groups with byes in Week 11: BUF, CLE, MIA, NE, NYJ, SF
Leap to a matchup:
PIT-JAX | DAL-ATL | TEN-IND | CIN-BAL
HOU-WSH | CAR-DET | TB-NYG | DEN-LAC
OAK-ARI | PHI-NO | MIN-CHI | KC-LAR
Level unfold: PIT -5 | Matchup high quality: 68.6 (of 100)
Jeremy Fowler’s decide: The Steelers are keen to shake the stench of final yr’s two losses to Jacksonville that featured blown assignments on protection and 7 turnovers by Ben Roethlisberger. The Steelers contained cell quarterbacks Cam Newton and Lamar Jackson in his restricted snaps up to now two weeks weeks, in order that they won’t let Blake Bortles burn them together with his legs this time. And do not be stunned if Roethlisberger goes at Jalen Ramsey with success too. Steelers 27, Jaguars 20
Tedy Bruschi and Darren Woodson are in Pittsburgh’s nook for its Week 11 sport towards Jacksonville.
Mike DiRocco’s decide: The Jaguars had 5 interceptions of their 30-9 victory within the 2017 common season, scoring three defensive touchdowns off these turnovers. The protection feasted on turnovers final season (33) however hasn’t had the identical ends in 2018 (eight in 9 video games), and that has impacted the offense. Not as many quick fields, accidents, inconsistent play from Bortles and an absence of playmakers make it exhausting for the Jaguars to score a number of factors. Steelers 30, Jaguars 14
FPI win projection: PIT, 64.Three p.c. Getting into Week 5, the Steelers have been 1-2-1 and the Jaguars have been Three-1. Pittsburgh has won 5 straight, boosting its playoff odds steadily from 23 p.c to 95 p.c, per FPI. Jacksonville has misplaced 5 straight, seeing its playoff odds plummet from 69 p.c to 2 p.c.
What to look ahead to in fantasy: The Jaguars have struggled this season, however the go protection stays one of many league’s best. Actually, Jacksonville has allowed the fewest fantasy factors to broad receivers this season. Learn more.
In case you missed it: Groin kick, thriller telephone name began Jaguars-Steelers rivalry … Roethlisberger respects Jalen Ramsey however would not worry him … Jags’ protection busts have been ‘whole mind farts’
Level unfold: ATL -Three.5 | Matchup high quality: 62.1 (of 100)
Todd Archer’s decide: The Cowboys’ 2017 season successfully led to Atlanta with a 27-7 loss that noticed Dak Prescott get battered and bruised (eight sacks). At Four-5, the Cowboys’ 2018 season is in a state of flux with their return to Atlanta. Nonetheless, this Cowboys offense lastly discovered its highway legs final week, and now the Cowboys get the 29th-ranked protection in factors allowed per sport. Cowboys 31, Falcons 27
Make amends for what’s taking place heading into Week 11:
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• Energy Rankings: Pats, Eagles drop »
• Execs predict Le’Veon Bell’s future
• Making sense of NFC playoff race »
• Specialists predict: Week 11 upset picks, more
• QB Tiers revisited: Risers, fallers, more
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Vaughn McClure’s decide: After what occurred final week in Cleveland, significantly with the Falcons displaying little combat in giving up a 92-yard landing run to Nick Chubb, it is exhausting to say this crew will likely be prepared to rebound. However Matt Ryan and the offense have confirmed up inside the house stadium, averaging 32.2 factors and changing 14 of 16 pink zone alternatives. The Falcons can have hassle slowing down Ezekiel Elliott, however they will score sufficient factors to survive this should-win sport. Falcons 35, Cowboys 31
FPI win projection: ATL, 59.Four p.c. After struggling out of the gate with a 40.6 Whole QBR within the first 5 weeks of the season (27th within the NFL), Prescott has rebounded with a 63.9 Whole QBR in his previous 4 video games. He has a great shot to enhance on that towards the Falcons, who rank fifth worst in opponent Whole QBR this season and allowed Baker Mayfield to publish a 94.5 final week.
What to look ahead to in fantasy: The Falcons’ protection is likely one of the weakest towards cell quarterbacks, with a Zero.97 factors-per-dashing-play common afforded to the place this season rating third most within the league. Learn more.
In case you missed it: Vander Esch’s instincts fueling emergence of Cowboys’ rookie … LB Jones comes off IR for Falcons … Cooper shortly paying dividends for Cowboys
Level unfold: IND -2 | Matchup high quality: 53.1 (of 100)
Turron Davenport’s decide: The Titans are on a two-sport win streak with the offense scoring a mixed 62 factors over that span. The Colts are permitting 26.6 factors per sport, so count on Marcus Mariota and Tennessee’s offense to score some factors right here. After holding the Patriots to 10 factors, the protection sits at a league-best 16.eight factors allowed per sport. The Colts’ offense is potent underneath first-yr head coach Frank Reich, however it won’t have the option to overcome Tennessee’s stingy protection. Titans 30, Colts 21
Mike Wells’ decide: The Colts are on a 3-sport profitable streak, whereas the Titans have won two within the row. The Titans haven’t given up a landing to a good finish this season, however the Colts have an NFL-high 15 touchdowns from their tight ends. Andrew Luck (9-Zero) would not know what it is like to lose to the Titans, and it stays that means — barely. Colts 31, Titans 27
Tedy Bruschi and Darren Woodson each just like the Titans to win in Week 11 vs. the Colts.
FPI win projection: IND, 62.Four p.c. Luck has posted Whole QBRs of 94.eight, 88.eight and 92.2 over his previous three video games, the primary participant since Russell Wilson in 2015 with three straight video games with a Whole QBR of 88 or greater. Solely three gamers within the Whole QBR period (since 2006) have carried out so in 4 straight video games: Philip Rivers, Peyton Manning (twice) and Tom Brady.
What to look ahead to in fantasy: Dion Lewis may need disillusioned final week together with his output, however the quantity was most actually there. So far as DFS worth backs go, Lewis stands out as soon as once more in Week 11. Learn more.
In case you missed it: Colts TEs: Talkers, dunkers and arguably NFL’s best group … Titans like Davis matchup regardless of who’s taking part in CB … Luck trying to go 10-Zero versus Tennessee … ‘Sport-changer’ Byard making impression for Titans’ protection
Level unfold: NA | Matchup high quality: 49.eight (of 100)
Katherine Terrell’s decide: The Bengals match up significantly better towards the Ravens’ center-of-the-pack offense than they did towards the Chiefs, Rams or Saints. They’ve already crushed the Ravens as soon as this season and usually play effectively in Baltimore, having won three of the previous 4. Bengals 28, Ravens 20
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Matthew celebrates the lifetime of the nice Stan Lee and presents his normal lineup-associated recommendation for this week’s video games.
Jamison Hensley’s decide: The Ravens are going to be restricted at quarterback, whether or not it is Lamar Jackson’s rising pains, Joe Flacco’s injured proper hip or Robert Griffin’s rustiness. To make issues worse, Baltimore is going through its largest nemesis in Cincinnati. The Ravens have misplaced eight of their previous 10 conferences to the Bengals. Bengals 24, Ravens 20
FPI win projection: BAL, 80.2 p.c. We would not know who’s beginning for the Ravens at quarterback till Sunday, however it does probably not matter to FPI. The Ravens would have an 82 p.c likelihood to win with Flacco underneath middle and a 78 p.c likelihood with Jackson.
What to look ahead to in fantasy: Jackson excelled at Louisville when the pocket was clear of go-rush stress, so (if he begins rather than Flacco), he has the potential to publish 18-20 factors whereas making Michael Crabtree, John Brown and Willie Snead IV all double-digit-level candidates. Learn more.
In case you missed it: Is that this Flacco’s final stand because the Ravens’ starter? … Hue glad to ‘come on residence’ to Bengals … Ravens face breaking level as franchise … ‘Cracks within the basis’: What led to Bengals’ defensive shake-up
Level unfold: HOU -2.5 | Matchup high quality: 46.Three (of 100)
Sarah Barshop’s decide: The Texans have won six consecutive video games, however their hardest take a look at for the remainder of the season would possibly come Sunday towards the Redskins. Coach Invoice O’Brien has harassed the significance of operating the ball late within the season, and his crew can have a troublesome time towards Washington’s fifth-ranked run protection, which permits 90.9 dashing yards per sport. Houston’s profitable streak will come to an finish on the highway. Redskins 20, Texans 17
John Keim’s decide: Houston’s run protection ranks first within the NFL on first-down runs (Three.59 yards), an space of energy for Washington, so any struggles right here and it’ll depart the Redskins in unhealthy conditions. Additionally, the previous two weeks Washington confronted defenses ranked 32nd (Tampa Bay) and 29th (Atlanta) in factors allowed per sport, and managed a mixed 30 factors. The Texans rank seventh. Texans 24, Redskins 17
FPI win projection: HOU, 55.Zero p.c. The Texans have won six straight video games following an Zero-Three begin, and a number of the credit score belongs to their protection. Throughout that win streak, Houston ranks second in defensive effectivity in accordance to FPI and third in opponent Whole QBR.
What to look ahead to in fantasy: Jordan Reed stays one of many more closely focused tight ends within the sport, together with his 6.6 per-sport common tied for sixth-most on the place this season. He must be a giant a part of the crew’s sport plan this week. Learn more.
In case you missed it: Texans hope RB Foreman provides one other ‘powerhouse’ to offense … A take a look at the Redskins’ path to an NFC East title … Texans centered on Peterson, ‘one of many best to ever play’
Level unfold: CAR -Three.5 | Matchup high quality: 36.7 (of 100)
David Newton’s decide: The Lions cannot cease the run, and now they face the league’s third-best dashing crew, led by Christian McCaffrey and Cam Newton. They cannot shield the quarterback, and the Panthers are emphasizing stress from their entrance 4. This is likely to be a lure sport if Carolina wasn’t coming off an embarrassing 52-21 loss at Pittsburgh. It isn’t. Panthers 35, Lions 17
Tedy Bruschi and Darren Woodson each predict the Panthers to come out with a win in Week 11 vs. the Lions.
Michael Rothstein’s decide: For the previous three weeks, Detroit has struggled with outdoors run protection, cell quarterbacks, good go-rushers and receivers with good releases off the road. And Carolina has all the items which have prompted nightmares for Detroit throughout its three-sport, double-digit shedding streak. Sunday appears like more of the identical towards an NFC playoff contender. Panthers 31, Lions 21
FPI win projection: CAR, 59.1 p.c. Since their Week 6 bye, the Lions have allowed 24-plus factors in all 4 video games and rank second worst in defensive effectivity in that span in accordance to FPI, forward of solely the Raiders. The Panthers rank sixth in offensive effectivity in that very same span and are a highway favourite as a result.
What to look ahead to in fantasy: Theo Riddick earns a streaming endorsement for the second straight week, as his receiving position ought to once more translate to a excessive-flooring fantasy efficiency in a possible excessive-scoring matchup with the Panthers. Learn more.
In case you missed it: Peppers desires to be remembered for more than sacks … Ansah on his means to being wholesome, and Lions want him … How a lot Devin Funchess will imply to Panthers after 2018 nonetheless unclear
Level unfold: NYG -2 | Matchup high quality: 30.5 (of 100)
Jenna Laine’s decide: This week towards the Giants and subsequent week towards the 49ers are the 2 most winnable video games the Bucs have remaining on their schedule. The Giants have one of many worst offensive strains within the league, however the Bucs struggled final week to get stress on Alex Smith when the Redskins had just one wholesome beginning offensive lineman. If Lavonte David, arguably the Buccaneers’ most athletically gifted participant and their lone beginning linebacker, is out, Saquon Barkley will put up sport-wrecking numbers. Giants 27, Buccaneers 25
ESPN Chalk has you lined with all of your NFL Week 11 betting wants:
Week 11 early look
The Le’Veon Bell impact
Rating NFL QB by ATS worth
Week 11 upset picks
Bets bets for each sport
Jordan Raanan’s decide: The Giants are favored for the primary time this season, and never by chance. The Bucs are a worse crew (1-6) since Week Three, permitting 32.9 factors per sport throughout that span. The Bucs are precisely what the Giants want to document their first residence victory of the season. A profitable streak for the primary time in two years? You betcha. Giants 32, Buccaneers 27
FPI win projection: NYG, 70.5 p.c. Why are the two-7 Giants such a big favourite? Largely as a result of the Buccaneers have a defensive effectivity of 9.7 (on a Zero-to-100 scale) on the highway this season, in accordance to FPI, which might be the worst in a season in our dataset (because the begin of the 2008 season) by a large margin.
What to look ahead to in fantasy: It is time to improve the Giants’ Sterling Shepard towards the Buccaneers’ M.J. Stewart or Javien Elliott. Learn more.
In case you missed it: Misguided strikes that also hang-out the Bucs … Only one catch, however it was a ‘large deal’ to Giants’ Coleman … Koetter stays with Fitzpatrick to save season, however is it practical? … New look brings optimism for Giants’ offensive line
Level unfold: LAC -7.5 | Matchup high quality: 59.eight (of 100)
Jeff Legwold’s decide: The Chargers have won six consecutive video games, and the Broncos have not won an AFC West highway sport because the 2015 season. Denver’s offensive line is lacking two starters and the offense has been sputtering, even earlier than dealing Demaryius Thomas on the deadline. The Broncos’ best likelihood to have success is placing stress on Chargers quarterback Philip Rivers, who hasn’t been sacked more than twice in any sport this season. Chargers 26, Broncos 17
Tedy Bruschi and Darren Woodson each say the Chargers will likely be an excessive amount of for Denver to deal with on Sunday.
Eric D. Williams’ decide: After 41 days away from residence, the Chargers lastly return to the StubHub Middle to face the Broncos, losers of two straight and 6 of their previous seven video games. Coming off a bye week, the Broncos must be rested and ready for the Chargers. Nonetheless, Denver’s protection is giving up practically 132 dashing yards per sport, so count on one other large sport from Melvin Gordon, with maybe a bigger position for Austin Ekeler. Chargers 30, Broncos 24
FPI win projection: LAC, 76.Three p.c. The one crew to be ranked within the prime 5 of each offensive and defensive effectivity by FPI this season? That might be the Chargers. Solely 5 groups have completed a daily season within the prime 5 in each stats in our information set (because the begin of 2008), and none since 2015.
What to look ahead to in fantasy: The Chargers, behind Desmond King’s sturdy play, have afforded solely 14.Three factors per sport to opposing slot receivers, third best within the league. Which may show an issue for Emmanuel Sanders, who has run 62 p.c of his routes out of the slot this season. Learn more.
In case you missed it: Artwork of the Sack: It fuels Miller, Chubb and Ingram … Broncos catch Chargers on a roll, strive to keep away from all-time low … How the Chargers’ protection acquired its groove again
Level unfold: ARI -Four | Matchup high quality: 2.5 (of 100)
Paul Gutierrez’s decide: Raiders linebackers have mixed for zero sacks, zero interceptions, zero compelled fumbles and 0 fumble recoveries. As a crew, the Raiders are final within the NFL in sacks with eight — half a sack lower than Cardinals defensive finish Chandler Jones has by himself. Jones figures to feast towards a beat-up Oakland offensive line, and Larry Fitzgerald ought to run free via a nonetheless-underneath-development secondary. Cardinals 17, Raiders 9
Josh Weinfuss’ decide: New offensive coordinator Byron Leftwich has injected life into Arizona’s offense. Look no additional than David Johnson, who had 183 all-goal yards in Sunday’s loss to the Chiefs. The Raiders boast one of many worst defenses on a play-by-play foundation, which is able to profit the Cardinals virtually instantly as a result of Johnson is anticipated to have an excellent bigger position this week. Cardinals 27, Raiders 17
FPI win projection: ARI, 54.eight p.c. This sport options the 2 groups with the best likelihood on the No. 1 general decide, in accordance to FPI, and can play an enormous position in deciding it. The Raiders would have a 73 p.c likelihood on the prime decide with a loss and a 22 p.c likelihood with a win, whereas the Cardinals would have a 43 p.c likelihood with a loss and simply Four p.c with a win.
What to look ahead to in fantasy: If Jared Cook dinner continues to see seems to be, taking part in him ought to repay. Arizona is permitting the seventh-highest completion share this season whereas rating 27th in scoring protection over the previous 4 weeks. Learn more.
In case you missed it: 5 groups make their case for the No. 1 decide … Raiders in driver’s seat for No. 1 draft decide (is good factor?) … Proprietor takes blame for Raiders’ begin: ‘Buck stops with me’
Level unfold: NO -7.5 | Matchup high quality: 69.Four (of 100)
Tim McManus’ decide: A banged-up protection that has simply seven takeaways this season (tied for 28th) faces a pink-scorching Drew Brees, who has thrown only one interception all season. It appears like New Orleans can put up 30 factors with out a lot effort, whereas Philly has scored more than 24 factors simply as soon as all yr. Saints 31, Eagles 23
Mike Triplett’s decide: The Saints have the longest win streak within the NFL (eight straight video games), however in addition they have the league’s longest energetic shedding streak towards defending Tremendous Bowl champions, in accordance to ESPN Stats & Info (additionally eight straight, courting again to 2003). The guess right here is the Saints keep scorching after scoring a ridiculous 96 factors over the previous two weeks. Saints 30, Eagles 25
Tedy Bruschi and Darren Woodson give their picks for the Eagles-Saints sport during which they each decide New Orleans to win.
FPI win projection: NO, 74.1 p.c. Brees now leads the NFL in Whole QBR this season (86.2), and is even higher at residence (88.7). Solely Aaron Rodgers (twice) has posted a better Whole QBR at residence in a season in our dataset (because the begin of the 2006 season).
What to look ahead to in fantasy: Michael Thomas leads the Saints in each targets (84) and goal share (29.17). With Philly being vulnerable to outdoors receivers, this seems to be like one other large week for Thomas. Learn more.
In case you missed it: WR Marshall: ‘Wholesome as a trout,’ excited to be a part of Saints … Eagles have most tough ending schedule in NFL … Kamara: ‘Madden wants to replace our complete O-line’
Level unfold: CHI -2.5 | Matchup high quality: 71.2 (of 100)
Courtney Cronin’s decide: Kirk Cousins has carried out significantly higher on the highway, and if he will get Stefon Diggs again from a rib harm, issues open up for the Vikings’ passing sport. Plus, a wholesome Dalvin Cook dinner provides one other aspect to this offense. Minnesota hasn’t performed its best in prime time this yr (losses to the Rams and Saints), however Chicago was the place the Vikings sparked a large turnaround of their season final yr. Make it two in a row within the Windy Metropolis. Vikings 21, Bears 18
Jeff Dickerson’s decide: Since Week Four, the Bears have averaged the second-most factors per sport (34.Three) within the NFL. Quarterback Mitchell Trubisky — the reigning NFC Offensive Participant of the Week — has accounted for 19 touchdowns over the previous six video games. Chicago’s protection is wholesome, led by Khalil Mack, who had two sacks final week in his return. Nonetheless, the Bears have but to beat a crew of the Vikings’ caliber. Till they do, questions will proceed to linger whether or not they’re actually prepared to win the NFC North. Vikings 24, Bears 23
FPI win projection: CHI, 57.5 p.c. The Vikings and Bears can have their possibilities to win their division impacted more than every other groups within the league this week, per FPI. The Vikings might see their possibilities swing by 33 share factors (49 p.c with win, 16 p.c with loss), and the Bears by 36 (68 p.c with win, 32 p.c with loss).
What to look ahead to in fantasy: In his previous three video games, Anthony Miller has averaged 69.Three yards and 6.Three targets with a clear 68.Four p.c catch fee, whereas dealing with 11.Zero air yards per goal. The Vikings have been strong towards receivers for a lot of the season, however Miller’s mixture of utilization and broad availability helps streaming worth for Week 11. Learn more.
In case you missed it: Trubisky’s ‘course of’ now has him on document tempo … After large payday, Hunter resumes making QBs the hunted … Trubisky’s rise, Bears ‘800 performs’ on offense problem Vikings
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
Level unfold: LAR -Three.5 | Matchup high quality: 89.Zero (of 100)
Adam Teicher’s decide: The Chiefs have allowed a median of 17 factors over the previous 4 video games, whereas the Rams have allowed a median of 34 factors over the previous three video games. The Chiefs are additionally Three-1 this season towards groups within the prime 11 in scoring (just like the Rams). They know the way to win video games like this one. Chiefs 34, Rams 31
Lindsey Thiry’s decide: For the primary time since 1991, Monday Night time Soccer returns to L.A. and residential-subject benefit will undoubtedly profit the Rams. The offenses will commerce blows, so it can come down to which protection could make a last stand. Whereas the Rams’ protection has struggled at occasions this season, it has made late stops when needed — together with final week towards the Seahawks. Rams 36, Chiefs 34
Tedy Bruschi and Darren Woodson suppose the Rams will win a detailed Monday Night time Soccer sport vs. the Chiefs.
FPI win projection: LAR, 63.5 p.c. Doubtlessly the sport of the yr, this may function the highest two offenses within the league when it comes to effectivity. The Chiefs (89.1 on a Zero-to-100 scale) and Rams (88.9) not solely have the highest offenses this season, per FPI, however of any season in our dataset (because the begin of the 2008 season).
What to look ahead to in fantasy: The Rams have allowed the sixth-most fantasy factors to broad receivers through the previous two months, so improve Tyreek Hill and Sammy Watkins. Learn more.
In case you missed it: Mexico transfer leaves damage emotions for Chiefs and Rams followers … Marcus Peters nonetheless believes in Marcus Peters. Do the Rams? … Chiefs develop model into Spanish-talking group